| Subject: | RE: People who moved to Texas from other states in 2010? |
|---|---|
| Date: | Fri, 21 Jan 2011 11:31:37 -0600 |
| From: | Lloyd Potter |
| To: | Gardner Selby <wgselby@statesman.com> |
As you nudged earlier, this covers 2008-09,
showing the state population increasing 478,000. Are there are
no comparable figures/estimates for 2009 to 2010?
There are not yet any published estimates of migration
for 2009-2010.
The migration chart says 143,423 of 231,537 people who moved to
Texas moved here from other states. Do I read that right?
Yes, you read it correctly.
So when Lt. Gov. Dewhurst said about 250,000 of 500,000 in added
population reflects people moving here from other states, he's
about right on the population gain, but he's off by about
100,000 on the number of additional residents traced to
migration from other states. Do I misread any of this?
Yes, this statement would be close to correct for net
migration into the State in 2008-09 and certainly correct if
we look at the annual average number of migrants over the past
4 years (~260,000). I think it’s possible, perhaps even
likely, that he or his staff didn’t understand that the net
migration number does include international migrants. Many
people consume the net migration number without realizing this
as it’s rarely reported when the number of migrants are
reported and many assume that it is referring to domestic
migration.
On 1/21/2011 10:01 AM, Lloyd Potter wrote:
...
The source of information on migration as a component of
population change come from the U.S. Census Bureau Population
Estimates program.
The data can be found at this link: http://www.census.gov/popest/states/states.html.
Then go to the components of population change link to see
the files.
On 1/19/2011 4:55 PM, Lloyd Potter wrote:
I assume he was referring to the most recent data available
for migration estimates which were for migration between
2008-2009. In that year, there were an estimated 231,539 net
migrants in Texas. If we speculate from a logical
perspective about 2009-2010, the number is probably fairly
close to 2008-2009 though may be down a bit because of the
recession, probably hovering slightly above or a little
below 200,000.